This last week, since I have been just playing with short stories, I didn’t report here a few major changes in publishing. The most important of which is J.K. Rowling’s announcement that she will only sell her e-books from her own web site. This is huge is many, many ways, much of which has been discussed around the web over the last few days. For a good take on all this, go to The Passive Voice blog and follow his posts on this. You can get a round-up of all his posts here. In my opinion, he is spot on.
And in his last post on this topic, he did some great predictions that I also agree with completely. The full post is here. Comments are good as well.
But I want to post his predictions here as well. I agree with them all. (And I hope he is correct about authors working through their issues, which I have been calling myths here.)
Passive Guy said:
The Rowling announcement is far from the last of big events that we’ll see. Putting on his prediction hat, Passive Guy says we’ll see:
- Continuing reduction in the number of physical bookstores (easy to predict)
- Further consolidation of publishers (also easy)
- More big author names announcing some version of indie publishing (easy)
- More Wellesley English majors looking for work outside publishing/agenting (barista training booms)
- Continuing proliferation of ereaders and/or tablet devices conducive to reading and reductions in ereader and tablet prices (easy)
- A giant ebook/ereader Christmas season in 2012 (easy)
- Nastier publishing and agency contracts designed to lock up authors forever (easy)
- More John Lockes and Amanda Hockings appearing among indie authors
- Continuing rapid innovation in publicity strategies for indie authors
- More crowded online bookstores
- More aggressive talent searches by movie/TV types or new-style agents among indie authors as the publisher/agent pipeline of books begins to dry up
- On the lawsuit front (after authors work through their battered wife/husband/child codependency syndromes):
- One or more lawsuits by authors against their publishers and/or agents for underpayment of royalties
- One or more lawsuits by authors against their agents for misrepresentation of the benefits and consequences of agent-as-publisher agreements
- Multiple lawsuits by authors trying to break publisher/agent contracts
But what doesn’t change?
People will continue to want stories, new stories, interesting stories, stories that bend their minds and touch their hearts.
Storytellers are always necessary.
People are always willing to pay for good stories.